Ocean Rise now considered virtually Certain
This talk will first present a new reconstruction of global sea-level change over the last 4.5 Myr which encompasses the initiation and intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation and sea-level variability over the last 2.5 Myr associated with the Pleistocene Ice Ages.
Several results from this reconstruction pose new challenges to our understanding of ice-sheet-climate interactions, including ice-sheet response to orbital forcing, ice-sheet inception and growth under a range of global temperature, and the middle Pleistocene transition.
The second part of the talk will examine future long-term (10-kyr) sea-level commitment to a range of emission scenarios and the development of a carbon budget to limit sea-level rise below a given target.
Presentation by Peter Clark from Rutgers University, Sea-level Rise Over the Next 100 to 10,000 Years in Response to Global Warming: An Update to IPCC AR5 (April 2018).
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