Climate Change in the Arctic and Model Projections

This video with scope on permafrost melting, highlights some of the new developments of our understandings, of what happens in the Arctic due to global warming. The Woods Hole Research Center (WHRC), at the University of Alaska Fairbanks May 11, 2017. Professor of Geophysics Vladimir Romanovsky discusses the impact of Arctic permafrost thaw. Related http://permafrostwatch.org

Sea Level Rise Projections until 2100, a nonlinear response?

Past sea level rise is not captured by models yet, in particular the response from ice sheets in Antarctica due to global warming. Projections therefore can often be regarded to potentially underestimate future sea level rise. For example, Overpeck et al. (2006), and Hansen (2007) suggest possibilities which could eventually lead to a nonlinear response…

Rapid sea-ice loss may increase the rate of Arctic land warming by 3.5 times – affecting permafrost

Recently a mysterious Siberian crater has been discovered, which subsequently raised questions about the circumstances surrounding the crater formation.  Theories include Pingo formation and connections to the thawing of permafrost (ClimateState reported). Robert Scribbler, summed it up: One theory on the feature is that it might be a pingo — a melting of a permafrost water pocket…

With further Arctic Amplification, How fast will Greenhouse Gas emissions accelerate in the Arctic Circle?

Introduction to Methane Hydrate “Methane Hydrates and Contemporary Climate Change” (2011) IDENTIFICATION This post “A Mechanism for Shallow Methane Hydrate Dissociation”, explores possible mechanism which could release vast quantities of shallow Methane Hydrate into the ocean and atmosphere.       CH4 Release The following studies explore the release of CH4 emissions in the Arctic region. OBSERVATION…

Gavin Schmidt: The emergent patterns of climate change

You can’t understand climate change in pieces, says climate scientist Gavin Schmidt. It’s the whole, or it’s nothing. In this illuminating talk, he explains how he studies the big picture of climate change with mesmerizing models that illustrate the endlessly complex interactions of small-scale environmental events. You can’t understand climate change in pieces, says climate…

The Albedo Effect Explained With The DaisyWorld Model (NASA)

NASA: A look at how the historic DaisyWorld model illustrates earth science concepts, such as albedo and feedback loops. This webshort was produced as an educational tie-in with the Science on a Sphere feature LOOP. Related Wikipedia: Albedo Earth-orbiting satellites see Arctic surface darkening faster The retreat of Arctic sea ice is diminishing Earth’s albedo, or reflectivity,…

Global Warming Underestimated by Half

Uploaded on YouTube Aug 21, 2013: Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends. Cowtan & Way (2013) Stefan Rahmstorf at RealClimate: A new study by British and Canadian researchers shows that the global temperature rise of the past 15 years has been greatly underestimated. The reason is the data gaps in…

IPCC: Climate Change Synthesis Report, Highlights


Published on YouTube Sep 30, 2013: For the 5th time in 23 years, the world’s leading climate scientists have released an update on the state of the climate. WeatherNation Chief Meteorologist reviews the highlights plus shares the panel’s predictions for the rest of the century.
Here’s a link for more information: http://www.ipcc.ch/

NASA: IPCC Projections of Temperature and Precipitation in the 21st Century

Published on YouTube Sep 27, 2013: New data visualizations from the NASA Center for Climate Simulation and NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio show how climate models — those used in the new report from the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — estimate how temperature and precipitation patterns could change throughout the 21st century.…

IPCC Report AR5 September 2013 (WG1) “The Pause”

On September 27 2013 the IPCC released the WG1 report of the IPCC AR5 assessment. UN Secretary General Ban-Ki Moon addressed the IPCC at Stockholm on 27 September. He stated that “the heat is on. We must act”. US Secretary of State John Kerry responded to the report saying “This is yet another wakeup call: those who deny the science…

Climate Sensitivity in the Anthropocene

Video: Dr. Kevin Trenberth explains general climate sensitivity on Earth. Study: Climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene M. Previdi, B. G. Liepert, D. Peteet, J. Hansen, D. J. Beerling, A. J. Broccoli, S. Frolking, J. N. Galloway, M. Heimann, C. Le Quere, S. Levitus and V. Ramaswamy | Source Climate sensitivity in its most basic form is…

Meet the NASA computer used for most climate simulations

The actual computer we do all of our climate simulations on (well, a little bit of it). pic.twitter.com/Z1qSFlgJwm — Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) July 16, 2013 System Architecture The system architecture is made up of multiple scalable units. The list below describes the total aggregate components of the system and its individual scalable units. Aggregate 67…

Estimating northern polar CH4 flux

A compilation of related science with some commentary. Microbes in thawing permafrost: the unknown variable in the climate change equation David E Graham, Matthew D Wallenstein, Tatiana A Vishnivetskaya, Mark P Waldrop,Tommy J Phelps, Susan M Pfiffner, Tullis C Onstott, Lyle G Whyte, Elizaveta M Rivkina,David A Gilichinsky, Dwayne A Elias, Rachel Mackelprang, Nathan C…

World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0 – 2000 m), 1955 – 2010

S. Levitus, J. I. Antonov, T. P. Boyer,O. K. Baranova,H. E. Garcia,R. A. Locarnini,A. V. Mishonov,J. R. Reagan,D. Seidov,E. S. Yarosh, and M. M. Zweng | published 17 May 2012 Abstract We provide updated estimates of the change of ocean heat content(OHC) and the thermosteric component of sea level change of the 0–700 and 0–2000…

Methane release from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf and the Potential for Abrupt Climate Change

Natalia Shakhova, Igor Semiletov | Source University of Alaska, Fairbanks, International Arctic Research Centre, USA Russian Academy of Sciences, Far Eastern Branch, Pacific Oceanological Institute, Vladivostok, Russia “Opening the Arctic”, Washington, Nov.30th-Dec.2nd, 2010. Outline What do we know about methane potential of the ESAS? Is there a mechanism responsible for transformation of methane potential to…