Is THIS Graph the only one needed to act on Global Warming?

Studies point to cognitive impairments at carbon dioxide levels believed possible by the end of this century, additional observation informed models tend to project higher warming scenarios, further research points to the possibility of self-reinforcing feedbacks in the climate system – again affecting the outcome of current unmitigated releases of heat-trapping gases to Earth’s atmosphere.…

Researchers Talk Permafrost Carbon Feedback Models #Methanogenesis

Can we model permafrost dynamics adequately in Earth System models? Researcher present and discuss recent climate carbon cycle modelling efforts, and reply to questions. Speakers Dave Lawrence, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Charlie Koven, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Release via IARPC Collaborations https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDyGrkFYPA4

Most accurate climate models predict greatest future warming

The climate change simulations that best capture current planetary conditions are also the ones that predict the most dire levels of human-driven warming, according to a statistical study released in the journal Nature Wednesday. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/12/06/the-most-accurate-climate-change-models-predict-the-most-alarming-consequences-study-claims Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget https://www.nature.com/articles/nature24672 Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy…

The 936 PPM CO2 NASA Model Prediction

This NASA visualization is based on the latest IPCC report, and uses the business as usual scenario, where carbon dioxide concentrations rise to 936 parts per million—more than double today’s levels of 400 parts per million—by the year 2100. Temperature anomalies are estimated to be close to 4°C in the Arctic. https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/details.cgi?aid=11453

Atmospheric Oxygen Decline threatens Humanity’s Existence

Study: There has been a clear decline in the volume of oxygen in Earth’s atmosphere over the past 20 years. A recently proposed model predicts a non-linear decay, which would result in an increasingly rapid fall-off in atmospheric oxygen concentration, with potentially devastating consequences for human health. We predict that humans may continue to survive…

Climate Change in the Arctic and Model Projections

This video with scope on permafrost melting, highlights some of the new developments of our understandings, of what happens in the Arctic due to global warming. The Woods Hole Research Center (WHRC), at the University of Alaska Fairbanks May 11, 2017. Professor of Geophysics Vladimir Romanovsky discusses the impact of Arctic permafrost thaw. Related http://permafrostwatch.org

Sea Level Rise Projections until 2100, a nonlinear response?

Past sea level rise is not captured by models yet, in particular the response from ice sheets in Antarctica due to global warming. Projections therefore can often be regarded to potentially underestimate future sea level rise. For example, Overpeck et al. (2006), and Hansen (2007) suggest possibilities which could eventually lead to a nonlinear response…

Rapid sea-ice loss may increase the rate of Arctic land warming by 3.5 times – affecting permafrost

Recently a mysterious Siberian crater has been discovered, which subsequently raised questions about the circumstances surrounding the crater formation.  Theories include Pingo formation and connections to the thawing of permafrost (ClimateState reported). Robert Scribbler, summed it up: One theory on the feature is that it might be a pingo — a melting of a permafrost water pocket…